August 13, 2008

Are U.s. Savings Bonds Right For You?

Why should you invest in US Savings Bonds? Its a question that few people consider these days, with everyone pressing their luck gambling with the stock market, hoping to strike it rich with that "money in the bag" hot penny stock. While it may not be as riveting as stocks, bonds can play a very important role in your portfolio.

So before you get stuck in the stocks vs bonds debate, lets have a look at the benefits of bonds.

First, lets start off by asking a basic question: What is A U.S. Savings Bond?
Back in the day when only well off people could buy common stock, U.S. Savings bonds were a very popular long term investment, back when long term meant longer than a few months. So while there are a couple of savings bonds options out there, the ones backed by the American government are the best quality. At its basic level, a savings bond is a vow that if you lend money, you will get it back with interest. The risk is that the entity receiving the money may not be able to pay it off as agreed. With the US government, the danger is minimal. Short of the American government going bankrupt, you will get your money back with interest.

To put it in simple terms, by buying a US savings bond, you are lending your money to the government. In these days of huge deficits, its more preferable for the US government to raise funds via savings bonds, than to have to go to foreign lenders (who normally charge a much higher rate - causing US taxpayers to pay even more money in taxes).

Whats In It For You?
Its all about the magic of compounding interest. If you were start off with a $1000 initial investment, and made monthly deposits of $50, you would have a nest egg of almost $20 000 after taxes.

Increase the interest rate to 3% and you'll have over $22 000. Think you can put away $100 a month? Say hello to over $42 000. There are also some tax benefits regarding education savings that you'll want to look into.

These may not seem like huge numbers, but, its a lot larger than your own bank account is receiving. Think about your kids and their education? $42 000 is a large down payment on a great education. An added bonus: you can purchase them at your bank.

For those who don't like risk, you wont find a more risk adverse investment than savings bonds. Each type of investment has its own purpose. If you are looking to put some money away, US savings bonds are among the best investments you can make. If you are looking for a quick buck, this is not going to work for you. If you're a trader like myself, taking your profits off the table and socking them into a savings bond is a great strategy to continue to build your capital, without putting your money at risk.

By buying U.S. savings bonds, you'll help to ensure that your tax bill doesn't have to be higher and know that your money is safe.

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August 10, 2008

An Effective Bond Strategy

Investing in savings bonds is easier than you think. Like equities, the key is to understand what you are putting your money into first before you buy your bonds. So before we answer the question of "How do I invest in bonds?", lets answer the question of defining "What are bonds".

The primary purpose of a savings bond is to lend money to a corporation for a fixed term and in return, get an agreed upon rate of return. In real terms, when you purchase a bond, you are lending your money to a corporation (this may be a company or a municipality) for a fixed term, and getting a coupon rate which is based on the original amount invested. Of course, the only tricky part involving bonds is how much of your money should be invested in bonds. That's a topic we'll take on another day. For now, lets focus on what bonds are and how to invest in them.

The prime advantage to bonds is in their constant income stream. Unlike shares in a company, you know exactly what you are going to get, and when. For example, a bond with a 10 year term that pays 3.5% tells you that in 10 years, you will be getting your principal back, and, you'll be getting 3.5% interest on that principal each and every year for 10 years.

A good strategy to use when investing in bonds is to look at your investment timeframe. Are you thinking of investing in years or in terms of decades? Keep in mind, the further out the term, the higher the coupon rate. Smart bond investors spread out their bond investments to cover both a short timeframe (less than 5 years), medium timeframe (5-10 years) and long term (more than 10 years). Remember, the longer the bond, the bigger the coupon rate, but the longer your money is tied up. By spreading the investments around, you can always count on a short term bond maturing right around the time you need the cash.

The best way to answer the question about how to invest in bonds is to look at a strategy of selling your bonds before it matures. When the interest rates go up, the price of an existing bond goes down - who wants your bond that is paying 3.5% when the interest rate is 4.5%? On the flip side, when interest rates go down, the bond price goes up - leaving you with upside trading potential. Its more successful than investing in penny stocks.

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July 8, 2008

Understanding The Investment Cycle And The Place Of Bonds In A Balanced Investment Strategy

These are troubled times, and nowhere is it more troubled than in our stock and property markets! In the past, investing in bonds been seen as a fairly boring investment, but as part of a balanced portfolio, bonds have an important role to play. Today we discuss the advanced investment strategies which use bonds to offset stock market investment risk.

Firstly, bear in mind that returns can be significantly improved by judiciously investing in corporate bonds. What are corporate bonds? They are the money raised by corporations over and above the sales, services, loans from banks and stocks. Essentially, a bond is a loan by the investor to a company or government. Unfortunately, not too many investors have taken the time and the effort to understand this instrument.

While they are relatively safe, bonds too have certain risk factors which we are going to look at. These can be classified under the terms Credit Risk, Interest Risk and Maturity Risk.

Credit risk refers to the likelihood that your bond issuer will default. There are, happily, credit rating agencies which rate the credit risk of a company. Poor's and Moody's and Standard are two such agencies.

There is a fixed coupon rate or an interest rate attached to each bond – however, the wider market may move against you, for example if rates go up and you have locked in a lower rate of return with a bond.

Maturity risk - there are some bonds that can be redeemed before they mature. This means that if you have been used to getting a high rate of interest, this might suddenly stop if the company redeems the bond.

Let's now look at the advantages. If you are cautious and invest in high yield bonds that are healthy and not junk bonds, you can stand to gain a lot. You also have convertible bonds where you can buy bonds that convert into stock directly from the company rather than from the market. This means you can take advantage of the company's price appreciation while enjoying the safety factor of a bond. The price of the bond usually does not fall below a decent price return.

Because bond values are driven by different factors from stock and property values, bonds can provide a buffer against volatility in your investment portfolio. Studies have shown that holding between 20% and 40% of a stock portfolio in bonds can reduce the extent of negative movements (losses) across the overall portfolio, without a commensurate reduction in the average gain across the overall portfolio. That is, there is some loss of profits when things are going well, but that loss is smaller than the reduction in losses when things go bad.

If you buy bonds at issue and hold them until their maturity date, you have a relatively lower risk investment than if you try to get fancy. You must thoroughly understand the risks and rewards of investing in bonds by buying when they are issued and holding them until maturity before starting to trade in bonds. You can get significant benefit from holding bonds, however, as their value movements tend to offset large downward movements in the stock market. Corporate bonds pay significantly higher coupon rates, and some may even be convertible at attractive terms. The wise investor will always include investing in bonds in their investment strategy.

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June 7, 2008

Bond Investing - The Different Types Of Bond Investing

Now, bond investing is not all that complex, but it is, like every other financial transaction, something to be carefully considered before jumping in. All the risk/reward trade-offs in bond investing are understood by the professionals who work with bond investing every day, but are less obvious to the retail bond investor.

If you are intending to be investing in bonds rather than trying to make capital gains by trading in bonds, then you will need to understand the basics of how the markets work, and how to tell an investment-grade bond from a junk bond.

A bond is essentially a loan to an organisation - you give your money to the bond issuer, and they agree to pay you interest (called the coupon rate) each month until the bond matures, at which time they will return your capital.

Obviously, if the bond is being issued by the US government, you can be reasonably confident that the money will come back to you when the bond matures in ten years' time. On the other hand, if the bond was being issued by Slippery Joe's Used Cars And Auto Parts Barn, located in Pipsqueak, Utah, you may not be quite so certain …

Bonds are rated based on a number of factors, all of which affect the likelihood that you will get your money back when the bond matures. The highest rating, AAA+, is applied to extremely secure investments like government bonds. Other large, reasonably stable organisations would be rated at various levels of A, down to A-.

Below a rating of BBB, bonds are called "junk bonds", because the perceived risk of default is too high. It's all very well getting a 15% return for a few years, but if you lose your capital it was hardly worth it, was it?

When it comes to the risk/reward trade-offs in bond investing, the key point to remember is that reward is always commensurate with risk. If a bond is paying a high coupon rate, it is because nobody will buy it at any lower rate, due to the perceived risk. The lowest risk strategy for bond investment is bond investing.

When you are looking for secure, fixed income returns, bonds are a good investment option. Of course, there are ways to trade and speculate in bonds, and achieve higher returns with equivalently higher risk. However, if you are at the point in your investing career where you are looking for secure fixed income, you should be buying investment-grade bonds when they are issued.

It is vital that you are fully aware of the the differences between investing in bonds and trading in bonds before you start your bond portfolio, or you could find yourself exposed to significantly more risk than you had intended! Consult your investment advisor to determine which bond investing strategies are appropriate for your situation.

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May 17, 2008

Consumer Price Index And Forex Trading

Any smart trader knows that in order to be successful they must
be able to analyze the market and predict price movement. This is
true whether you trade in stocks, bonds, commodities, currency,
or any other for of security.
currency prices,

Analysis can be done in two different ways: fundamental analysis
and technical analysis.

Technical analysis is the study of prices. The goal is to analyze
the history of price movement in an effort to predict future
prices.

Fundamental analysis is the study of a nation's overall economic
health. I like to think of this as "Big Picture" analysis. The idea
is that the strength of a nation's economy will affect the supply
and demand for its currency, which will in turn affect the price of
the currency.

For example, let's assume that the US economy is in a major upswing.
Since the economy is strong, the value of the dollar will be expected
to rise and currency traders will invest heavily in the dollar. This
bullish behavior becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy and the dollar
rises in value.

That's a pretty simple concept, but judging the health of a nation's
economy is no easy task. There are many factors to consider, and two
traders may look at the same figures and interpret the data differently.
consumer price index,

Fundamental analysts look at various economic indicators for signs of
an economies strength. Some of the indicators they analyze are the
interest rate, unemployment rate, consumer price index, and gross
domestic product (GDP).

These reports are released regularly by various government agencies and
non-government entities. You should find the latest schedule of upcoming
releases and put them on your calendar. Keep an eye on them for a few
months and see what effect they have on currency prices.

One thing to keep in mind: it is not always the numbers contained in a
report that have the greatest impact, but rather the relation of the
numbers compared to what was forecasted.

analysis
In other words, a rise in interest rates may not have a significant
impact if forecasters were expecting it. But if they were expecting
interest rates to remain steady and there was an unexpected increase,
there may be a large impact on currency prices.

A major disadvantage of fundamental analysis is that it can be a little
too "big picture". It is great for predicting overall economic growth
and price changes, but it doesn't offer enough details to target specific
entry and exit points. This is where technical analysis comes in.

Fundamental Analysis vs Technical Analysis

When it comes to analyzing the forex market, there
are two basic schools of thought. One is called
fundamental analysis, which is the study of a
nation's overall economy. Proponents of this
big-picture view believe that price trends can be
predicted by analyzing various economic indicators
which give an overall picture of an economy's
health.

The other school of thought is called technical
analysis. The core belief behind technical analysis
is that prices tend to follow patterns, and that by
analyzing past price patterns one can predict what
the price will be in the future.

But which type is better?

Well, to be honest neither. You need to combine both
types of analysis to become a successful trader.
Limiting yourself to only one or the other is a recipe
for disaster.

Why? Because by using only one method you're only
looking at half of the picture. Let me use an example
to make my point.

Let's say you're a strict technical analyst and you have
no use for fundamental analysis. "What do I need to look
at economic indicators for," you say. "I have my price
charts and they shall never let me down!"

As you study your charts, you begin to see an opportunity
forming. You've got 3 or 4 indicators showing that a huge
breakout is about to occur. The US dollar is about to go
on a rampage and rush to get in early. So you make the
trade, sit back, put your feet, and wait for the price
to soar.

But then something funny happens. The price drops 50 pips!

What the heck happened??

In disgust, you walk away from your computer and flip on the
television just in time to see the financial report. It turns
out that the latest Unemployment numbers were just released
and the number is much higher than expected. At the same time,
one of the world's largest corporations announced that their
earnings were well under forecasted amounts, and they predicted
sales would continue to be sluggish through the next quarter.

Those two variables through a major monkey wrench in the price
rally you predicted. If only you had mixed a little fundamental
analysis in with all of those price charts you were busy
studying you may have seen this one coming.

Of course, using fundamental analysis alone is not the solution.
The big-picture view of fundamental analysis is great at
identifying general trends in price movement, but it does
not give a detailed enough look to provide entry and exit
points. Sure you may know that the Swiss franc is due for
a price increase, but how much? When should you buy and then
when should you sell?

Only by incorporating both methods into your trading system
do you have a chance to be a successful trader.
It's a fact that simple systems beat complicated ones, as they are more robust in the face of ever changing market conditions.

A complicated one simply has too many elements and they break.

Keep It Simple!

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May 14, 2008

Interested In Investing (maybe The Burger King Business?)- Tips On Working It Out

If you have been wondering about ways to make some money for your family and the future you may have considered investing at one time or another. Investing money comes in many areas from real estate to stocks and shares; the choice available is huge and will depend on your individual needs. It takes the right attitude however, to achieve this, and a careful approach (not reckless) should make money worries a thing of the past. While the subject is very large, the information listed here is for guidance only and further information should be sought before you jump-in with both feet.

The number one place to invest is the stock market but careful research into individual companies is required before stock and mutual funds are purchased as investments. The stock market can be a great way to make money, sometimes very quickly but these sorts of gains are generally made by people that know what they are doing and short term risks can be involved. The safer option, and also one that can be used for long term profit as well, is real estate and buying a house can increase in value considerably. Some people purposely buy a house that needs extensive remodeling because they can buy them for less but the gains when they are sold can be huge although this does require a decent amount of work to be carried out first. Another rewarding area of investment is fast food franchise. burger king areas are varied and spread-out, most likely there’s even one near you.

There can be many pitfalls involved with real estate investment but the next area is not as bad. Trading online is the cleanest way to earn money and almost anyone can have a go; you would be surprised at just how many people are now turning their hands to online investment. Using a computer, this group of people comes from all walks of life and this allows them to be a trader who performs his or her own company research before they decide to buy or sell. This ease has a downside and while some home people have been so successful they now do this full time, it does have its risks. However, burger king prices are low, and profitable; chances are you’ll gain much more than you lose.

If you plan on investing, make sure you educate yourself in the market and means in which you wish to proceed. If you are truly serious about making money from trading then simply must do the basics, study and research the field you are in. For further information on the subject with some interesting case histories, simply visit the forums, blogs and websites that are a powerhouse of good advice. I know many people that thoroughly enjoy investing this way and having control over an investment portfolio; I also know a few who approached it the wrong way and lost large sums of money in the process so be one of the wise ones.

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April 17, 2008

Mini Forex Trading

Forex trading is one of the most viable options for someone who’s looking at bigger possibilities, bigger profit and greater ease in trading and business. Because of it’s high liquidity and speedy transactions, forex trading is becoming a popular game among players in the field of business and marketing. While it’s traditionally for companies and corporations with big capital and experience in the field, it has also proven itself to be a good venture for a neophyte though what one calls a Mini Forex account or Mini Forex Trading.

Mini Forex Basics

Mini Forex trading is good for people who have just started in the forex market and with not enough funds to open a regular account. It requires a smaller capital compared to regular forex accounts, a minimum of $300. With mini forex trading, you can control a $10,000 currency position.

The key here is leverage. Because of leverage, a trader can trade in a commodity more than the money available in his account. Say with a $250 deposit, one could trade a maximum of 5 mini lots. This kind of leverage is greater than stocks or day trading. Of course, it is recommended to start with a manageable leverage that allows greater flexibility in transactions.

What are the perks of mini forex trading? With just a small stake involved, you get to enjoy free trading platform and benefits that regular forex traders get to enjoy. These would include state-of-the art trading software, charts and resources. With a leverage of 200:1, the trader can trade in a commodity regardless of the amount of money available to him.

Mini forex trading also allows for lesser losses as the contract size is only 1/10th the size of a standard forex account. There is also greater flexibility with regards to customizing trades and minimizing risks. Ideal for those with smaller capital, the trader has a chance of investing in more areas of the market with lesser risk as there is lesser capital to be lost. He need not be hesitant with his transactions as there is lesser capital involved.

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Premium Bonds Or Savings Accounts

There is controversy about premium bonds and if they are really worth the investments. If you calculate the odds of winning per bond and the interest rates for regular savings accounts, the argument could go both ways. On the positive side a premium bond gives the saver a chance to win over a million pounds if they are the two lucky numbers picked during the monthly lottery. The flip side of the coin is that there are thirty six billion losers each month. There money stays the same, it does not loose its value, but there is no interest to generate profit. So the government, in all actuality, is using thirty six billion pounds worth of British money for free.

People who are skeptical about Premium Bonds Or Savings Accounts contend that the reason the odds are so against the majority of the investors is that the distribution is skew by the way it awards the prizes. This would allow for the majority of the investors to have little to no chance of winning a cash prize. Their earning potential of their money would actually decline because they would not be earning the interest rate in a regular savings account or the rise of the earnings if the money was invested in stocks.

If you get past the hope of winning a million pounds then you can look at premium bonds for what they are. A fun way to save money and at the same time you can have the excitement of winning the lottery. To look at winning backwards suppose that one million people put in one pound apiece for the lottery. One person would win the million pounds, but there would nine hundred and ninety nine thousand and nine hundred and ninety nine people who would be losers. Those people would have at least made a small percentage on their savings. It’s a choice between a chance for something big or a small interest to give you the satisfaction of profit.

Another way of looking at it is to look at the interest rate of a premium bound. The interest rat of four percent is the estimated payout for your one pound bond. The government uses the interest to create the prize bank and to allocate the prizes. So you would expect to win four pounds on a hundred pound investment. This is impossible because the smallest prize is fifty pounds. It would take around seven investors to loose their interest for that month if you won those fifty pounds. Even more people would lose their money to finance the two million pound give away to two winners. More resources on Premium Bonds.

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February 15, 2008

Investing My Way

Money is the most mismanaged resource that human beings have within their reach. There is a power and a high from spending money that cannot be compared with any other high known yet. The world today highly materialistic, it somehow motivates people to live beyond their means. It is always tempting to go a little extra and push the limits of a fixed income until it spirals out of control.

What Happens When You Are Down and Completely In the Red?

You are faced with two options - (1) file for bankruptcy or (2) check out the debt consolidation and management solutions. Let us look at both these options. When you think of filing for bankruptcy you need to keep in mind that this would be on your credit record for a minimum of seven years no matter what you do. That means that you would not be able to get a decent loan from any bank or financial institution as you would be considered a high risk proposition. It also means that if you do get a loan, you would pay in incredibly high rate of interest - which would further put strain on your finances.

The second option is to check out the debt consolidation and management solutions and see whether that could save you from filing for bankruptcy.

What Is Debt Consolidation and Management In the First Place?

There are two components in the debt consolidation and management solution. The first one - debt consolidation - is in fact a loan which consolidates all outstanding debts you have into one large debt to the debt consolidating agency. This agency would then enter into negotiations with your lenders and improve the terms and conditions wherever possible. Besides, they will also try to waive the late fees, and other such things thereby saving you a large amount of money overall.

The second part of the term debt consolidation and management pays attention on how the finances would be managed after the debt consolidation. Both these aspects are important and interdependent as one cannot exist without the other. Management is a critical factor if you plan to stay debt free after the debt consolidation is put into action. Without proper management of finances and debt, you would tend to slip back into debt and related problems.

This is why debt consolidation and management is very often a life line for those people who have experienced the paralysis of extreme indebtedness and the helplessness of being forced to file for bankruptcy.

More information on Investing at debt management

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October 26, 2007

Bond Investing - What You Dont Know Makes The Difference

Its a little known fact that mutual fund bond investing offers almost as many investing options as in stocks. Bonds are a key element of the diversified portfolio, so its important to remember to take time to compare stocks vs bonds. Not to choose one over the other, but to decide how to split up your hard earned money between these two smart investment choices.

There are low yield bonds, frequently issued by government entities, that prepare oneself a small but steady returns for very little risk. There are also higher risk, and thus potentially higher yield, "junk bonds" which are issued by financially shaky institutions, generally companies struggling to raise funds. All of these bonds are effective in the long and short term and are priced according to the mechanics of the debt market.

Bond holders tend to be first in line when financial troubles loom on a company's horizon. In the event of bankruptcy, holders of the company's stock will see their shares become worthless paper, while debt holders are given the proceeds of asset liquidation, etc. While this may end up being pennies on the dollar, the advantage of bond investing over owning shares of a failed company is clear.

Some of the larger mutual funds own a mix of stocks and bonds, while others will sell short stocks in addition to owning them. There are "opportunistic" funds that look for dislocations and inefficiencies around the world, and "market neutral" funds that reap gains regardless of whether markets are climbing or selling off — all seeking to maximize returns through the use of hedging techniques and the use of leverage, or borrowed money. The ultimate aim is simply to buy low and sell high in increasingly volatile, and therefore uncertain, global financial markets.

Its important to understand bond investing. Most people jump right into stocks, risking 100% of their portfolio. Mixing in bonds with stocks is a smart move.

Getting a clear view of financial markets can be a challenge in itself. Bond mutual funds advice can be found on the pages of financial magazines and newspapers. Past performance is usually the main driver of many reviews of these funds. However, sophisticated investors today tend to want peace of mind, too. This typically means investing in a fund that follows a particular philosophy on controversial matters like labor practices and the environment.

A sound investment philosophy can fetch a hefty premium today, as global financial markets gyrate and exhibit a level of volatility not seen in many years. Even bond investing has its risks as uncertainty over interest rates and the global economy remain prominent issues on the mind of investors. But whatever the risk profile of the investor, there is likely a fund that will be a decent fit for one's portfolio.

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